This end of contract report was delivered to Manatū Hauora Ministry of Health at the end of August 2023. It covers all activities of the final year of the Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa programme, with an additional, more comprehensive bibliography including all publications since the start of the programme in 2020. 

Our Covid-19 modelling influenced policy decisions, so we made it publicly available as soon as we could. All of our published work was assessed by our fast and committed peer review team to enable a degree of scientific certainty within the parameters of rapid change.

Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa arose under the leadership of Te Pūnaha Matatini investigators, and ran as a standalone programme hosted by the University of Auckland from January 2021-July 2023.

Mathematical models are simplified representations of real-world processes expressed in mathematical language. In epidemiology, models are used to understand the way infectious diseases spread through populations.