by Admin | 8 Feb 2022 | Branching process modelling
Executive summary The results in this report are a preliminary assessment of the potential impact of Omicron in New Zealand and are subject to significant uncertainty. This modelling was carried out before the detection of the Omicron outbreak on 23 January 2022....
by Admin | 10 Nov 2021 | Branching process modelling
We use a stochastic branching process model to investigate the risk of border-related outbreaks of COVID-19 and strategies to mitigate this risk. In this paper we couple a simple model of quarantine and testing strategies for international travellers with a model for...
by Admin | 27 Oct 2021 | Branching process modelling
Executive summary We use a branching process model to simulate the Auckland August 2021 outbreak through to early January 2022, including the effects of increasing vaccine coverage by age group and time. Based on vaccination data and bookings for the Auckland metro...
by Admin | 26 Oct 2021 | Contagion network modelling
Report provided 1 September 2021, this version published after internal peer review 15 October 2021 We use the contagion network model to project case numbers and thus hospital and critical care numbers for the current Auckland outbreak of August 2021, with current...
by Admin | 22 Oct 2021 | Contagion network modelling
Report delivered 10 September 2021 As Aotearoa New Zealand, and specifically Auckland, responds to the ongoing outbreak of Covid-19 that began in August 2021, we seek to explain and explore how changes to Alert Level restrictions may impact on the network of...
