by Admin | 26 Aug 2022 | Contagion network modelling, News
New modelling by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa suggests that testing with Rapid Antigen Tests before ending isolation for confirmed cases of Covid-19 would significantly decrease the risk of onward transmission, while allowing many people to isolate for shorter periods....
by Admin | 23 Aug 2022 | Branching process modelling
Executive summary The BA.5 Omicron sub-variant is able to spread more easily than the previously dominant BA.2 sub-variant due to its immune escape characteristics. This is a key driver of the second Omicron wave in New Zealand in July/August 2022. Updated modelling...
by Admin | 2 Jun 2022 | Branching process modelling
Executive summary Waning of infection-derived immunity means people become increasingly susceptible to being re-infected with SARS-CoV-2 over time. This waning creates the possibility of subsequent waves of infection, even after substantial population exposure, driven...
by Admin | 20 May 2022 | Border risk
The New Zealand Ministry of Health needs to assess the risk of Covid-19 infection among international travellers arriving in Aotearoa New Zealand, principally by air. The model described here assesses country level infection risk using daily infection rates among...
by Admin | 8 Feb 2022 | Branching process modelling
Executive summary The results in this report are a preliminary assessment of the potential impact of Omicron in New Zealand and are subject to significant uncertainty. This modelling was carried out before the detection of the Omicron outbreak on 23 January 2022....
