by kste821 | 8 Dec 2022 | Border risk, Branching process modelling, Contagion network modelling, Equity and at-risk communities
Abstract For the first 18 months of the Covid-19 pandemic, New Zealand used an elimination strategy to suppress community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to zero or very low levels. In late 2021, high vaccine coverage enabled the country to transition away from the...
by Admin | 26 Aug 2022 | Contagion network modelling, News
New modelling by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa suggests that testing with Rapid Antigen Tests before ending isolation for confirmed cases of Covid-19 would significantly decrease the risk of onward transmission, while allowing many people to isolate for shorter periods....
by Admin | 26 Oct 2021 | Contagion network modelling
Report provided 1 September 2021, this version published after internal peer review 15 October 2021 We use the contagion network model to project case numbers and thus hospital and critical care numbers for the current Auckland outbreak of August 2021, with current...
by Admin | 22 Oct 2021 | Contagion network modelling
Report delivered 10 September 2021 As Aotearoa New Zealand, and specifically Auckland, responds to the ongoing outbreak of Covid-19 that began in August 2021, we seek to explain and explore how changes to Alert Level restrictions may impact on the network of...
by Admin | 18 Oct 2021 | Contagion network modelling
Using the FluTracking survey data for 2021 up until the week ending 29 August 2021, we can estimate the weekly incidence (new onset) of Covid19-like symptoms within different age groups and different parts of the country. We use this to produce an estimate of the...
by Admin | 18 Oct 2021 | Contagion network modelling
Report delivered 9 September 2021, this version compiled 15 October 2021. We use an individual-based, Aotearoa-specific Contagion Network Model (CNM) to simulate the spread of COVID-19 in the community for an outbreak comparable to that detected on 17 August 2021. The...
