by Admin | 15 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling
We use a range of data sources and analytic approaches to estimate the number of movements between regions of Aotearoa and to give some estimates of the risk of transmission of Covid-19 to regions outside of Auckland, during the early stages of the August 2021...
by Admin | 7 Sep 2021 | Branching process modelling
Here are two technical reports in which we consider the epidemic course for the August 2021 cluster, detected on 17 August in Auckland, following the shift to Alert Level 4 restrictions in New Zealand, using a stochastic branching process model. On 17 August 2021 a...
by Admin | 3 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling
The Aotearoa Co-incidence Network (ACN) provides a highly insightful tool to explore the manner in which the regions of Aotearoa New Zealand are connected to each other through co-incidence of individuals at workplaces and schools. We used data from Aotearoa New...
by Admin | 26 Jul 2021 | Contagion network modelling
The reports ‘Network modelling of elimination strategy pillars: Prepare for it, Stamp it out’; ‘Alert Level 2.5 is insufficient for suppression or elimination of Covid-19 community outbreak’; and ‘Contagion network modelling of effectiveness for a range of...
by Admin | 30 Jun 2021 | Branching process modelling
We present two implementations of an age-structured model for Covid-19 spread in Aotearoa New Zealand with a partially vaccinated population. The first is a deterministic SEIR model, useful for considering population-level dynamics and questions about population...
