by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 20 Apr 2023 | News
Background “The Cosmology group at the University of Auckland started working on this during the first Level 4 Covid-19 lockdown in 2020 as a way of contributing to the national pandemic response. This work was largely completed while Aotearoa New Zealand was at...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 20 Apr 2023 | Contagion network modelling, Equity and at-risk communities
Background This memo was provided to the NZ Ministry of Health on November 16th, 2022 in response to a request for rapid advice on November 15th, 2022. The memo presents results for specific scenarios of interest: case isolation of 7 days or 5 days with no...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 18 Apr 2023 | Ordinary differential equation modelling, Technical Report
Executive summary Since July 2022, Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa have been using a compartment-based ordinary differential equation (ODE) model to simulate the spread of Covid-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand. This age-structured model includes waning of vaccine-derived and...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 11 Apr 2023 | News
COVID-19 Modelling Aotearoa used a mathematical model to investigate the potential impact of shifting from mandatory COVID-19 case isolation to case isolation guidance on the number of infections, hospital admissions, and deaths over the next 6 months. Irrespective...
by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 1 Feb 2023 | Border risk, Branching process modelling, Equity and at-risk communities
Abstract For the first 18 months of the Covid-19 pandemic, New Zealand used an elimination strategy to suppress community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to zero or very low levels. In late 2021, high vaccine coverage enabled the country to transition away from the...
