by Admin | 26 Aug 2020 | Branching process modelling
Abstract Digital tools are being developed to support contact tracing as part of the global effort to control the spread of Covid-19. These include smartphone apps, Bluetooth-based proximity detection, location tracking, and automatic exposure notification features....
by Admin | 20 Aug 2020 | Branching process modelling
Abstract In an attempt to maintain the elimination of Covid-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand, all international arrivals are required to spend 14 days in government-managed quarantine and to return a negative test result before being released. We model the testing,...
by Admin | 10 Aug 2020 | Branching process modelling
Updated 8 June 2021 Models of contact tracing often over-simplify the effects of quarantine and isolation on disease transmission. We develop a model that allows us to investigate the importance of these factors in reducing the effective reproduction number. We show...
by Admin | 16 Jul 2020 | Branching process modelling
Abstract In an attempt to maintain elimination of Covid-19, the New Zealand government has closed the border to everyone except citizens and residents. All arrivals are required to spend 14 days in government-managed isolation/quarantine and to be tested for Covid-19...
by Admin | 5 Jun 2020 | Branching process modelling
Abstract On 25 March 2020, Aotearoa New Zealand implemented stringent lockdown measures (Alert Level 4, in a four-level alert system) with the goal of eliminating community transmission of Covid-19. Once new cases are no longer detected over consecutive days, the...
by Admin | 22 May 2020 | Branching process modelling
Abstract The effective reproduction number, Reff, is the average number of secondary cases infected by a primary case, a key measure of the transmission potential for a disease. Compared to many countries, Aotearoa New Zealand has had relatively few Covid-19 cases,...
