by Admin | 16 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling
In the first weeks of the 2021 Auckland August Covid-19 outbreak, the contagion network team provided a number of reports to officials with estimates of the likely size of the outbreak and updates on the estimated effect of Alert Level interventions on curtailing...
by Admin | 15 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling
We use a range of data sources and analytic approaches to estimate the number of movements between regions of Aotearoa and to give some estimates of the risk of transmission of Covid-19 to regions outside of Auckland, during the early stages of the August 2021...
by Admin | 3 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling
The Aotearoa Co-incidence Network (ACN) provides a highly insightful tool to explore the manner in which the regions of Aotearoa New Zealand are connected to each other through co-incidence of individuals at workplaces and schools. We used data from Aotearoa New...
by Admin | 26 Jul 2021 | Contagion network modelling
The reports ‘Network modelling of elimination strategy pillars: Prepare for it, Stamp it out’; ‘Alert Level 2.5 is insufficient for suppression or elimination of Covid-19 community outbreak’; and ‘Contagion network modelling of effectiveness for a range of...
by Admin | 19 Oct 2020 | Contagion network modelling
Executive summary We simulate the late July/early August re-emergence and spread of Covid-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand. We use a stochastic, individual-based network model of all ~5 million individuals in Aotearoa, and run simulations for a period of 30 days. Based on...
