Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa
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Contagion network modelling in the first weeks of the August 2021 outbreak

by Admin | 16 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling

In the first weeks of the 2021 Auckland August Covid-19 outbreak, the contagion network team provided a number of reports to officials with estimates of the likely size of the outbreak and updates on the estimated effect of Alert Level interventions on curtailing...

Inter-regional movement and contagion risk analysis August 2021

by Admin | 15 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling

We use a range of data sources and analytic approaches to estimate the number of movements between regions of Aotearoa and to give some estimates of the risk of transmission of Covid-19 to regions outside of Auckland, during the early stages of the August 2021...

Exploring Covid-19 transmission risk and vulnerability through the Aotearoa Co-incidence Network (ACN)

by Admin | 3 Sep 2021 | Contagion network modelling

The Aotearoa Co-incidence Network (ACN) provides a highly insightful tool to explore the manner in which the regions of Aotearoa New Zealand are connected to each other through co-incidence of individuals at workplaces and schools. We used data from Aotearoa New...

Covid-19 network modelling trilogy: Elimination, Alert Level 2.5 and other non-pharmaceutical interventions

by Admin | 26 Jul 2021 | Contagion network modelling

The reports ‘Network modelling of elimination strategy pillars: Prepare for it, Stamp it out’; ‘Alert Level 2.5 is insufficient for suppression or elimination of Covid-19 community outbreak’; and ‘Contagion network modelling of effectiveness for a range of...

Simulations of re-emergence and spread of Covid-19 in Aotearoa

by Admin | 19 Oct 2020 | Contagion network modelling

Executive summary We simulate the late July/early August re-emergence and spread of Covid-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand. We use a stochastic, individual-based network model of all ~5 million individuals in Aotearoa, and run simulations for a period of 30 days. Based on...
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Recent Posts

  • Using mechanistic model-based inference to understand and project epidemic dynamics with time-varying contact and vaccination rates
  • Quantifying the impact of isolation period and the use of rapid antigen tests for confirmed COVID-19 cases
  • Modelling the effects of Omicron sub-variant BA.5 in New Zealand
  • Modelling the dynamics of infection, waning of immunity and re-infection with the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Aotearoa New Zealand
  • Estimating Covid-19 border arrival risk in Aotearoa New Zealand

Categories

  • Border risk
  • Branching process modelling
  • Contagion network modelling
  • Equity and at-risk communities
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"Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa"
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Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa
The University of Auckland | Accessibility | Copyright | Privacy | Disclaimer