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Modelling scenarios for changing COVID-19 isolating behaviour and transmission

by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 30 Jun 2023 | News

This report presents advice delivered to the NZ Ministry of Health in December 2022. It was prepared in response to requests for modelling advice around how COVID-19 case numbers and hospitalisations might be affected by policy changes enacted at different dates in...

Addendum: Assumption of perfect case isolation within the home when estimating the effect of a change in case isolation policy

by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 13 Jun 2023 | News

This document presents the findings of sensitivity testing of a modelling assumption made in two previous documents that present advice given to the NZ Ministry of Health in August and September 2022: Estimating the effect of Covid Protection Framework policy...

Estimating the effect of changes in case isolation on the effective reproduction number of COVID-19 in Aotearoa: September 2022

by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 13 Jun 2023 | News

This document collates results and advice given to the NZ Ministry of Health in September 2022 as part of a rapid response to requests for modelling advice on consequences of removing case isolation. Using the Network Contagion Model (NCM) we model the estimated...

Estimating the effect of Covid Protection Framework policy scenarios on the effective reproduction number of COVID-19 in Aotearoa: August 2022

by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 13 Jun 2023 | News

This document collates results and advice given to the NZ Ministry of Health in August 2022 as part of a rapid response to requests for modelling advice on the on consequences of changing policy settings for cases, contacts, and community context. Using the Network...

Commuter Count: Inferring Travel Patterns from Location Data

by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 20 Apr 2023 | News

Background “The Cosmology group at the University of Auckland started working on this during the first Level 4 Covid-19 lockdown in 2020 as a way of contributing to the national pandemic response. This work was largely completed while Aotearoa New Zealand was at...

Modelling the effect of changes to the COVID-19 case isolation policy

by Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa | 11 Apr 2023 | News

COVID-19 Modelling Aotearoa used a mathematical model to investigate the potential impact of shifting from mandatory COVID-19 case isolation to case isolation guidance on the number of infections, hospital admissions, and deaths over the next 6 months.  Irrespective...
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